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Gai & Adrian TV 4th July 2025

Gai and Adrian have a strong contingent of runners stepping out across multiple tracks this weekend.

Playing By The Rules

Emma Reeves aids us with programming and identifies who she thinks is the best placed horse each weekend. Assailant, Saturday 5th July, Rosehill Gardens, Race 7:Another import served me well last week, so I’m sticking with that thread. While restricted to his own age group then, his British form looks stronger than what he faces here. I wanted to wait until he steps out over 2400 metres in two weeks’ time, but he’s third up now and I’m hoping the wet track will bring his stamina into play. He wore blinkers in the UK, so we’ve reapplied them here, and although there looks to be a bit of speed in the race, I’m expecting him to roll forward from his wide draw, make it a genuine staying test, and be very tough to run down. Let’s hope he gains a start.

Gai's Tip Sheet

SATURDAY 5th JULY – FLEMINGTONRail Position: TrueSHAMARKAND (Race 5, 2.15pm, 2600m, J Stanley, 54kg)Shamarkand failed to fire in his first Australian start at Randwick. We went into the race knowing he’d need the run as a steppingstone to longer trips, but he was still very one paced. As such, we’re wasting no time stretching him out in trip so he’s straight up to 2600 metres which is going to suit him a lot better. He’s settled in well to our Flemington stable and we’re hopeful the longer trip is what he needs to fire, so fingers crossed we see a much-improved performance. SATURDAY 5th JULY – WYONGRail Position: TrueOUTTA LINE (Race 4, 1.45pm, 1350m, O Chambers, 57kg)Outta Line is pleasing us ahead of her first start. She took a big step forward from her first to second trial when finishing third at Randwick most recently, and she’s continued to go the right way since then. 1350 metres is a good starting point as she’d be outpaced over anything shorter, but we know she’s a filly who’s only going to improve as she gets out over ground. She’s drawn well in barrier 1 so Olivia will be positive from there to try and hold a handy position, and whilst we don’t expect her to be peaking here she’s forward enough to do herself justice and we hope to see her run a competitive race to get her career off to an encouraging start. SATURDAY 5th JULY – ROSEHILLRail Position: +8m 1000m-W/Post, +7m RemainderASSAILANT (Race 7, 2.35pm, 2000m, T Clark, 56.5kg)Assailant ran a brave race in defeat when finishing third at this track last time. He’s done very well between runs and finds himself in an identical race here with the same weight he carried last time, so he ticks plenty of boxes. He was under tremendous pressure from the home turn last time, but he kept responding and dug deeply to the line. Ideally we’d have stretched him out in trip for his next start, but this is the most suitable race in the calendar so our hand is somewhat forced. However, the heavy track, which we think he’ll handle as he raced well on Soft in Europe, will place an added emphasis on stamina and we’ve put the blinkers on the sharpen him up a little and ensure he’s razor sharp and focused on the task at hand. He’s drawn a wide gate, but Tim will try to flow forward from there to get across into a handy position. He’s got plenty going for him, so if he handles the conditions and improves again third-up we see no reason why he can’t be winning.FULLY LIT (Race 8, 3.15pm, 1200m, R Bayliss, 56.5kg)Fully Lit ran an improved race to finish fifth second-up at Randwick last time. After more than a year off the track he’s just needing his runs to bring him to peak fitness, but he certainly looks ready to win third-up here. He sticks to 1200 metres for now, and the wet track will place an added emphasis on stamina which should help him. He got through the wet track well enough first-up, and we think it was the lack of a recent run that brought him undone there rather than the track so we’re happy to roll the dice on this testing surface. He’s reunited with Regan who knows him well and he’s drawn to do no work in barrier 3, so he should be able to get to the front and make his own luck from there. This is another very competitive race but he’s got plenty going for him, and we expect him to be right there at the finish.SATURDAY 5th JULY – SUNSHINE COASTRail Position: TrueTHE THREE HUNDRED (Race 6, 3.23pm, 1600m, A Jones, 57kg)The Three Hundred got too far back in the run to ever do himself justice at Ipswich last time. He needs to get out in trip which he finally gets here, so he’ll relish stretching out to the mile. He’s had no luck with barriers recently and this is no exception in gate 13, so Regan will do his best to go forward and hopefully the steadier tempo of this longer race means his early speed will be more effective and enable him to get across and settle in a handy spot close to the lead. The rain’s been falling so the track’s rated a Soft 7 at the time of acceptances, but with a favourable forecast we’re hopeful it’ll improve as he’s much more effective on faster ground. He's a gelding who needs things to go his way, but he couldn’t have a more in form jockey aboard than Angela so fingers crossed for some luck in running as he’s more than capable of running a big race. BEAR ON THE LOOSE (Race 8, 4.45pm, 2400m, A Jones, 55.5kg)Bear On The Loose ran the race of his life to finish a close second in the Listed Winter Cup last time. He had no trouble with the 2400 metres, so he tackles that distance again here and he’s even more seasoned with a run over that trip now under his belt. He’s taken the journey to Queensland in his stride and he’s loving the change of scenery which Adrian and I love to see ahead of raceday. He’s drawn to do no work in barrier 1, so Angela will be positive from there to get him rolling along in front like he did last time. She should be able to get a nice mid-race breather into him, and if he gives a strong kick and reproduces his last start performance then he’ll be very hard to beat.SUNDAY 6th JULY – SALERail Position: TrueWILLINGHAM (Race 1, 11.20am, 1200m, J Stanley, 58kg)Willingham ran a fantastic race on debut at Geelong a fortnight ago. He led the field up at a generous tempo but still dug deep to show plenty of fight when challenged, and he only gave way in the dying strides to be beaten half a length. He’s come through the run in great order, and he’s taken plenty of improvement from it so he strips a lot fitter here and should see out the 1200 metres more convincingly as a result. He’s got the gate speed to roll forward from barrier 13 and hopefully dictate terms to suit himself again, and we’ve put the crossover noseband on to make him a bit more tractable in the run as he showed a tendency to lay out slightly last time. He’s got plenty of upside second-up with a run under his belt, and if he reproduces that effort he’ll be hard to run down.TOP SECRET (Race 3, 12.25pm, 1400m, J Stanley, 59.5kg)Top Secret is pleasing us ahead of his return. He needed his first jumpout following his short freshen up, and he took good improvement from it to win his latest one in good style. 1400 metres is probably the ideal starting point for him, and whilst barrier 15 isn’t ideal he’s got the early speed to go forward and get across into a better position on the inside on or near the speed. He might not be a superstar but he’s capable of breaking his maiden, and he’s been very switched on and sensible since returning from his break so the penny finally seems to be dropping. He’s a horse who probably needs things to go his way, so hopefully everything falls into place here as if he gets an easy time of things in front he’ll take plenty of catching.

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HORSES AVAILABLE

Pinatubo/Really Discreet '23

This is a blue-blooded filly by the sensational first-season sire Pinatubo who was Champion 2YO in Europe and a three-time Group 1 winner, with an incredible seven victories from just ten starts. By the influential Shamardal, whose bloodline boasts significant Australian success through his own progeny and sons like Lope De Vega, Pinatubo himself conquered the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes, a race also won by Too Darn Hot, the sire of this filly's dam's half-sister, the dual Group winner Too Darn Discreet.This filly hails from an exceptional female family, with her first four dams all black-type winners up to Group 1 level, and an astonishing ten black-type fillies adorning her pedigree page. Bred by the elite Highgrove Stud, renowned for their high strike rate of Stakes winners from yearlings sold, this filly offers immense residual value with her dam, Really Discreet, currently boasting an Anamoe colt at foot and a Farnan foal in utero. Adding further appeal, she's bred on the proven Shamardal (Pinatubo) over Danehill-line (Exceed And Excel) cross, responsible for multiple Group 1 winners like Blue Point, Earthlight, and Victor Ludorum.

Ole Kirk/Apicius '23

Don't miss this exceptional filly by Australia's current leading Champion First Season Sire, Ole Kirk, who dominates across all key metrics. Her dam is by the legendary Champion Sire Redoute's Choice and has already proven her broodmare prowess by producing a Stakes-winning 2YO from her very first foal to race. This filly hails from one of the most active and successful female families in Australia, boasting an impressive 15 commercially bred fillies within her first five dams. Adding further pedigree power, her first three dam sires are all Champions, Redoute's Choice, Lonhro, and Encosta De Lago. Excitingly, this filly is bred on the exact same potent cross as Group 3 Pago Pago Stake winner, Skyhook.This is a rare opportunity to invest in a filly with strong residual value.

Maurice/Mallory '23

This stunning filly boasts an impeccable pedigree, being the first foal of the brilliant Group-winning juvenile and classic contender, Mallory (by the exceptional sire Not A Single Doubt). Mallory wasn't just any racehorse; she was a top-tier 2 and 3-year-old, capturing the Group 3 Widden Stakes, placing in the prestigious Gimcrack Stakes, and competing in the Golden Slipper. At three, she continued her stellar form with narrow misses in both the Group 2 Furious and Tea Rose Stakes before tackling the Flight Stakes. But the brilliance doesn't stop there. Her sire is the phenomenal Maurice, a leading stallion already proving his prowess with limited crops producing stars like Mazu and Hitotsu. While his best books are still to come, we've already experienced his magic firsthand, having trained three Stakes winners by him from a small number of runners. This speaks volumes about his inherent ability to produce top-quality athletes.

Tagaloa/Derive '23

This outstanding filly is by TAGALOA, a Group 1 winning stallion from Yulong Stud. TAGALOA made an immediate impact as a two-year-old, placing third in a Group 3 on debut before securing two impressive wins, including his crowning achievement, the Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes. As a three-year-old, he continued to prove his class, winning a Group 3 and placing in multiple elite races. His pedigree is nothing short of exceptional, being sired by LORD KANALOA, a world-class sprinter and Japanese Horse of the Year. This filly is the first foal out of DERIVE, a quality mare by REDOUTE’S CHOICE, with three wins to her name. She hails from a distinguished bloodline, related to WORLD PREMIERE, a dual Group 1 winner in Japan, as well as Group 1 placegetters WELTREISENDE and WORLD ACE. Gai was particularly taken with her, highlighting her strong, well-built frame and impressive bone structure. She possesses all the key attributes of a top-class racehorse, making her an exciting prospect with immense potential in her future.

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